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2024-12-14 00:39:41

The 30-year main contract of treasury bond futures rose to 0.62%, which continued to hit a new high. In addition, the 10-year main contract rose by 0.37%, the 5-year main contract rose by 0.27%, and the 2-year main contract rose by 0.09%, which was another record.China Merchants Securities: Investment Guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year From these four aspects, China Merchants Securities said that the investment guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year mainly include the following aspects: 1) From a macro perspective, the support intensity of policies for various economic work is expected to exceed market expectations. Specifically, the fiscal policy orientation is positive, deficit ratio will arrange or keep it above 3%, the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be further expanded, and the scale and investment field of special bonds are expected to be further extended; Monetary policy mentioned "timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates", and the goal of liquidity policy changed from balance to loose tendency, which will bring room for valuation improvement of A shares. 2) From the perspective of expanding domestic demand, consumption will become the main line of investment next year: the meeting will continue the deployment of the Politburo meeting in December, and in the order of writing, consumption will still be placed at the top of next year's key tasks. In terms of specific measures, it is planned to boost consumption mainly through two aspects. First, increase the income of residents; The second is to increase consumption scenarios. 3) Focus on scientific and technological innovation to lead the development of new quality productive forces, and grasp two main lines: this meeting focused on "carrying out' artificial intelligence+'action and cultivating future industries". Artificial intelligence has appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for three consecutive years. Future industries have also appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for two consecutive years. Therefore, it is recommended to focus on artificial intelligence+and future industries. 4) Focus on "comprehensive improvement of' involution' competition": In terms of "involution" competition, photovoltaic industry is the representative in emerging industries. Recently, in addition to self-regulatory measures such as industry association initiatives, the photovoltaic export tax rebate rate has been lowered and industry norms have been updated to further control new production capacity. The policy is further introduced to curb the "involution" competition of photovoltaics. It is recommended to pay attention to photovoltaic, lithium battery and other industries.Tesla China will launch advanced intelligent summoning ASS function for vehicles with EAP or FSD. On December 13th, Tesla China official website launched a brand-new vehicle function-Actually Smart Summon. This function is suitable for Tesla vehicles with EAP (enhanced automatic driving assistance function) or FSD (full automatic driving capability). Tesla owners can automatically park the vehicle from the parking space and drive to the owner's side or the location designated by the owner on the mobile phone by operating on the Tesla application of the mobile phone, and the vehicle needs to be kept within the owner's sight during the moving process. It is reported that this function will be pushed to the owner through OTA remote software update function.


The USD/JPY just broke through the 153.00 mark, and the latest price was 153.01, up 0.25% in the day.The merger of Guotai Junan Haitong Securities was approved by the shareholders' meeting, and the merger and reorganization of Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities completed a key step. On the evening of December 13, the two companies simultaneously announced the resolutions of the shareholders' meeting. The merger and reorganization transaction plan and other related proposals were reviewed by the shareholders' meeting and passed by high votes. The merger and reorganization of Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities is the first merger and reorganization of head brokers since the implementation of the new "National Nine Articles". It is also the largest A+H bilateral market merger and the largest integration case of listed brokers in the history of China capital market, and the largest M&A project in international investment banking since 2008, involving multi-business licenses and a number of domestic and foreign listed subsidiaries.The organization looks forward to the semiconductor industry in 2025: the AI ​ ​ replacement tide leads the growth, and the semiconductor ETF(512480) may usher in new development opportunities. On December 13, the semiconductor ETF(512480) closed down by 1.38%, with a turnover of 1.671 billion yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and Zhaoyi Innovation leads the rise. In terms of decline, SMIC led the decline. CICC said that after the boom in 2024, it is expected that the inventory of the semiconductor industry will stabilize and the relationship between supply and demand will be more balanced in 2025. With the gradual landing of AI cloud and end demand, domestic semiconductor elements will usher in new development opportunities. In addition, the AI-changing tide has a pulling effect on the downstream demand of the semiconductor design sector, which is expected to accelerate the growth of the semiconductor design sector in 2025 and inject new vitality into the industry.


Centeno, Governing Committee of the European Central Bank: Fortunately, yesterday's decision of the European Central Bank was unanimously adopted.The new CEO of Pakistan Stock Exchange said that the exchange is seeking to provide traders with the option of cash settlement of futures trading, and plans to conduct a test before March next year.Many foreign ministers will hold talks in Jordan to discuss the latest development of the situation in Syria. Jordan announced that it will hold a meeting on December 14th local time to discuss the latest development of the situation in Syria. At the invitation of Jordan, the foreign ministers of the member countries of the Liaison Committee of Arab Ministers on Syria, established by the resolution of the Arab League, including Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Lebanon and Egypt, and the Secretary-General of the Arab League, will hold a meeting in Aqaba, a city in southern Jordan. The meeting will also be attended by foreign ministers from the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Qatar. The Arab foreign ministers attending the meeting will also hold talks with the Turkish foreign minister, the US Secretary of State, the EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, and the UN Special Envoy for Syria.

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